My Math Forum bayes in roulette?

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 March 19th, 2019, 07:56 PM #11 Newbie   Joined: Dec 2012 Posts: 19 Thanks: 0 Real world has not defined rules, anything can happen, ypu are exposed to many risks they can rule your fate. Games of chance at the examples can be analized
March 19th, 2019, 08:21 PM   #12
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Quote:
 Originally Posted by ybot Real world has not defined rules ...
In that case, what is science?

Quote:
 Originally Posted by ybot anything can happen, ypu are exposed to many risks they can rule your fate.
That sounds like nihilism. Why study and work hard, the world's random. If I run someone over with my car, that's not my fault. It's my bad luck and theirs. I might as well text and drink while I drive. Sadly a lot of drivers out there act exactly that way. But I don't. I look where I'm going. I believe the universe has at least that much order to it.

Do you live your own life in accordance with the philosophy of fate? Or is this just something you wrote on the Internet this evening?

Quote:
 Originally Posted by ybot Games of chance at the examples can be analized
Yes, constrained domains in which we know the rules are easier to analyze. That does not necessarily mean that life and the universe have no rules. Only that we, like the blindfolded coin guesser, don't know the rules.

Last edited by Maschke; March 19th, 2019 at 08:23 PM.

 March 19th, 2019, 10:05 PM #13 Senior Member   Joined: Aug 2012 Posts: 2,265 Thanks: 690 ps -- Sorry if my philosophical musings got too far off the topic. Perhaps someone more knowledgeable about statistics and probability can respond to your point about 2.5 standard deviations.
 March 20th, 2019, 01:48 AM #14 Newbie   Joined: Dec 2012 Posts: 19 Thanks: 0 There are many other conditions that could work in real world. It sometimes does not follow rules. Unexpected events could happens. A casino game or a coin flip have less hidden conditions. Our fate obeys to many random variables. When you sucess it is all skill, when you miss is bad luck. A common thinking. I know many decision in your life, right or wrong had some random help. Sucessfull people were inrolled in a list a when up to their carreer due to skill+luck. You do not hear from the ones who left the way to success, but, a smart man come over again to compete. Thanks for you replies. I know my example is not easy

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