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October 27th, 2017, 10:31 PM  #1 
Newbie Joined: Oct 2017 From: Hanoi Posts: 4 Thanks: 1  The P of the # of two random sets
I found this question a satisfying challenge, so I hope I got it right! "Let X be a set containing n elements. If two subsets A and B are picked at random, what would be the probability that they are both the same size?" So, basically what is the probability that the cardinality of the two sets (which I indicate with #) is the same, so P(#A=#B), if that is the correct notation. I assumed that the empty set was considered a subset of X because not including it made my brain hurt. So, the probability space is made up of all the subsets of X of any length from 1 to n, bearing in mind that the empty set has a cardinality of 0, but I am counting it as one of the sets that might be randomly picked. By brute force I figured the total number of sets, irrespective of cardinality, by taking examples: n=3 empty set, {1}, {2}, {3}, {12}, {13}, {23}, {123} Total, 8 sets n=2 empty set, {1}, {2}, {12} Total, 4 sets n=1 empty set, {1} Total, 2 sets n=0 empty set Total, 1 set So it is plain to see that total sets will always equal 2^n, and number of possible pairs of sets, irrespective of length, would be 2^n choose 2. So that is my denominator. Now what we need to know is, for each cardinality, starting with n, then n1, then n2 on to 0, how many subsets of n have that card? So, for n=3, number of sets #3=1, #2=3, #1=3, #0=1. More brute force for n=2, n=4, etc., makes it clear we are dealing with Pascal's Triangle and all of them lovely binomial coefficients. Each of these coefficients is represented by n choose k for k=0 to k=n. So the number of pairs of sets with the same cardinality that might possibly be picked is the sum of the possible pairs from each of the binomial coefficients of an ndegree polynomial, so the sum of (n choose k) choose 2. So that is the (sum from k=0 to n of (n choose k) choose 2))/ (2^n choose 2). If that makes sense. Can't we use Latex on this interface? Okay. Now I'm too tired to think. 
October 28th, 2017, 09:20 AM  #2 
Senior Member Joined: Sep 2015 From: USA Posts: 1,979 Thanks: 1027 
you're close but not quite right. the actual answer is $\dfrac{\displaystyle \sum_{k=0}^n~\dbinom{n}{k}^2}{2^{2n}}$ see if you can puzzle out why. Remember you have two independent sets to choose from, each of size $n$ 

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