
Probability and Statistics Basic Probability and Statistics Math Forum 
 LinkBack  Thread Tools  Display Modes 
August 2nd, 2017, 09:59 PM  #1 
Newbie Joined: Aug 2017 From: India Posts: 1 Thanks: 0  Girl friend's mood checking using Bayesian theorem
I am not a match geek, but I was learning about Bayesian theorem and how it can help me make better decisions. It is simple yet complex, can someone please guide me, so I can simply put the number in excel and it calculates for me? I read that value of some variable can not be more than 1.0; in excel, I can format a cell to never accept value more than 1.0. I sort of want to create a general model to calculate different aspects of my life. Currently I want to now the probability of my gf mood. Data I know is She get's happy when I compliment her and she herself say that I should appreciate her, most of the fight occurred because I forget to complement her efforts before complaining. she recommends that I should praise before complaining. So not praising mean more probability she will get angry. Now can someone for love of god, help me create a Bayesian formula for this, so that I know that after how long it's time to complimented her for this long and I should compliment her. I know I should just follow the emotion and compliment her when I feel like, but you don't get the problem, it is timeconsuming and I want to optimize so that I spend less time doing so. Last edited by skipjack; August 3rd, 2017 at 05:18 AM. 
August 3rd, 2017, 05:15 AM  #2 
Global Moderator Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 18,053 Thanks: 1395 
You're asking too much of mathematics.

August 3rd, 2017, 05:47 AM  #3 
Senior Member Joined: May 2016 From: USA Posts: 803 Thanks: 320 
The closer you can get the ratio of complaints over compliments to zero the higher the girl's smile index. It is a well known law of erotology. And while your smile index may be raised by complementing your girl friend with one or two others, complementing has been shown to have a nonzero probability of shortening your life expectancy. By the way, I do not believe the Reverend Bayes experimented with girl friends: it might have scandalized the parish. Last edited by JeffM1; August 3rd, 2017 at 05:50 AM. 
August 3rd, 2017, 05:53 AM  #4 
Senior Member Joined: Feb 2016 From: Australia Posts: 1,354 Thanks: 464 Math Focus: Yet to find out. 
Honestly this is hilarious. But I think it is more of an optimisation problem, as you have realised. In any case, you need to start collecting data. Record how long a compliment will last, which ones are more effective and under what conditions etc. formulate a list of constraints. And think more abstractly. You are a company that produces products (compliments), your girlfriend is a consumer of your product (your free, product, might I add). Supply, demand, time and cost management. It's all there. 
August 3rd, 2017, 07:15 AM  #5 
Math Team Joined: Oct 2011 From: Ottawa Ontario, Canada Posts: 10,688 Thanks: 701 
Marry her...then she'll always be in bad humour!

August 3rd, 2017, 08:13 AM  #6 
Senior Member Joined: Apr 2014 From: Glasgow Posts: 2,068 Thanks: 692 Math Focus: Physics, mathematical modelling, numerical and computational solutions 
There's a reason nobody (in their right mind) uses mathematical models to make lovelife decisions.... What you need to do is get off this website and surprise her with an amazing surprise candlelit dinner, spontaneous holiday, pampering session or something else romantic and adventurous. Pull out all the stops! Make it personal and about both of you, not just her. If she still complains after that, find someone else who won't. Nobody has to live the life of a slave and do the bidding of her every whim (not until you're married anyway! ) 

Tags 
bayesian, checking, friend, girl, girl friend, mood, theorem 
Thread Tools  
Display Modes  

Similar Threads  
Thread  Thread Starter  Forum  Replies  Last Post 
Two questions from my friend  wuzhe  Algebra  16  October 14th, 2012 11:32 AM 
a challenge from friend (1 + 1 = 3)  suood  Algebra  20  July 3rd, 2012 07:39 PM 
Problem for a friend  30.06  Algebra  1  December 9th, 2008 08:55 AM 
Bayesian or not Bayesian; this is my problem!  Marione  Advanced Statistics  0  April 24th, 2008 02:51 PM 