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May 17th, 2013, 03:28 AM   #1
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PROBLEM: estimating peak traffic on web site

Hi Everyone,

I have a (simple?) question that I hope someone will find interesting enough to help me out with.

A web site has currently 3,000 subscribers who generate a certain amount of traffic on the web server. Hits (web requests) are distributed throughout the day and result in a peak load of 8 hits/second.

Question: should the number of users increase (let's say double) and follow the same usage pattern, how would the peak load (hits/second) be affected?

I strongly doubt that the answer is 16 hits/second and realise that more information might be needed, to start from the actual distribution of the hits and the average total hits per day.

Anyone intrigued enough to lend a hand?

Thanks,
Paolo
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May 17th, 2013, 01:08 PM   #2
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Re: PROBLEM: estimating peak traffic on web site

My guess would be 8?2 ~ 11. However, 8 as a peak seems funny. You could get an average, but a peak? All it means to me is that one surveyed the site over some period and took the peak. However there is no assurance that it might not be exceeded sometime in the future.
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